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Five bets · five returns · one wheel

Ice Fishing RTP, odds and what it costs per hour

The headline number is 97.10%. It applies to two of the five bets. Here are all of them, converted into house edge and into money, with a planner so you can price your own spread.

§ 01  Every published figure

Published figures for the standard euro ruleset. On stakes large enough to reach the 500,000 win cap, Evolution lists a reduced 94.55% on bonus bets.
BetSegmentsPaysRTPHouse edgeHits roughly
Leaf 123 / 531:1, or 3x–10x boosted97.10%2.90%43.4% of rounds
Leaf 223 / 531:1, or 3x–10x boosted97.10%2.90%43.4% of rounds
Lil’ Blues4 / 533x – 100x95.69%4.31%1 round in 13
Big Oranges2 / 534x – 200x95.60%4.40%1 round in 27
Huge Reds1 / 5310x – 500x95.17%4.83%1 round in 53

House edge is RTP subtracted from 100%. It is the more useful number because it multiplies cleanly: stake $100 across Leaf bets over an evening and the long-run cost is $2.90. Stake the same $100 on Huge Reds and it is $4.83. The difference looks trivial per round and stops looking trivial once you count turnover.

The odds behind the returns

Leaf 1 wins on 23 of 53 segments, or 43.40% of rounds. Leaf 2 the same. Lil’ Blues appears on 4 segments (7.55%), Big Oranges on 2 (3.77%) and Huge Reds on 1 (1.89%). Combined, some fish lands 13.21% of the time — roughly once every 7.6 spins — but that only pays you if you were on that specific fish.

§ 02  Price your own spread

Move the sliders to match how you actually bet. The planner blends the published RTPs by stake weight and converts the result into turnover and average hourly cost. It is not a prediction of your session — it is the price on the ticket.

Your bet spread

What that spread actually costs

Blended RTP
Stake per round
$0.00
Expected cost / hour
Bonus participation
Turnover / hour
$0.00
Stake on bonuses
0%

“Expected cost” is the long-run average the house edge takes from the money you put through the table. A single hour will land nowhere near it — that is what volatility means. Over a few hundred hours, it is close to inevitable.

§ 03  Reading volatility honestly

Ice Fishing is rated medium-high volatility, and the phrase does real work here. A Leaf-only session produces small, frequent results and a slow, readable drift. A bonus-heavy session produces long dead stretches punctuated by one result that changes the whole evening — in either direction.

The trap is that both spreads have similar-looking RTPs on paper while producing completely different experiences. If you set a budget for a Leaf session and then switch to bonus chasing at the same stake, you have quietly multiplied both your hourly cost and your swing size.

There is no bet-sizing system that changes any of this. Martingale, Fibonacci and flat progressions all leave the house edge exactly where it was. They change the shape of your losses, not the size of them.

How the win cap changes the maths

Evolution caps a single round at 500,000. On small stakes the cap is invisible. On large bonus bets it truncates the top of the payout distribution — and when that happens the published RTP for those bets falls to 94.55%. If you are betting near table maximums on Huge Reds, you are playing a measurably worse game than the figure on the info screen suggests.

Take the numbers to a real table

You now know what each route costs. Pick one, set a limit, and play it deliberately.

§  RTP FAQ

What is the highest RTP in Ice Fishing?
97.10%, on Leaf 1 and Leaf 2. That is higher than the best bet in Crazy Time (96.08%) and among the strongest figures Evolution publishes for any game show.
Why is the RTP different for each bet?
Because each route is priced separately. The bonus routes buy you access to large multipliers, and the house charges for that access by returning slightly less over the long run.
What is the 94.55% figure?
A reduced return that applies to bonus bets large enough that a maximum result would breach the 500,000 single-round win cap. If the cap can bite, the theoretical return falls with it.
Does a higher RTP mean I will win?
No. Every route has a negative expectation. A higher RTP means you lose more slowly, which buys playing time rather than profit.
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